Korea Republic U17 vs New Caledonia U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Puwan Stadium, Dalian
The Footlab model makes Korea Republic U17 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for New Caledonia U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korea Republic U17 vs New Caledonia U17?
Korea Republic U17 starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,613 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korea Republic U17 have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; New Caledonia U17 have 0, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Uzbekistan U17(away) | 2-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Yemen U17(home) | 0-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Vietnam U17(away) | 4-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 6, 2026 | United Arab Emirates U17(home) | 1-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| Mar 31, 2026 | India U17(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Morocco U17(away) | 0-16 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Japan U17(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Portugal U17(home) | 1-6 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | IR Iran U17(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Brazil U17(away) | 0-9 | World Cup - U17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Korea Republic U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; New Caledonia U17 score 0.2 and concede 7.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic U17 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| New Caledonia U17 | 0.2 | 7.7 | 1 | 1/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korea Republic U17 vs New Caledonia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Korea Republic U17 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for New Caledonia U17.
- Where and when is Korea Republic U17 vs New Caledonia U17 played?
- Korea Republic U17 vs New Caledonia U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Puwan Stadium, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.