Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complex Sportiv Craiova, Craiova
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for FCSB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitatea Craiova have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FCSB have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Universitatea Craiova win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FCSB win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 1-0 FCSB | Liga I |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 2-2 FCSB | Cupa României |
| Oct 5, 2025 | FCSB 1-0 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| May 17, 2025 | FCSB 1-0 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 0-0 FCSB | Liga I |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FCSB 1-0 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FCSB score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| FCSB | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitatea Craiova sit 4th in Liga I (10 points from 6 matches) and FCSB sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FCSB | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for FCSB.
- Where and when is Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB played?
- Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Sportiv Craiova, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.