Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Corvinul Hunedoara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara?
Corvinul Hunedoara starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Corvinul Hunedoara have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(home) | 3-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Botosani(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Oţelul win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Corvinul Hunedoara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2024 | Corvinul Hunedoara 2-2 Oţelul | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Oţelul on May 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Corvinul Hunedoara score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Corvinul Hunedoara | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oţelul sit 11th in Liga I (6 points from 5 matches) and Corvinul Hunedoara sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara?
- The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Corvinul Hunedoara.
- Where and when is Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara played?
- Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.