Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad
The Footlab model makes Uta Arad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Uta Arad (1,711) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uta Arad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Uta Arad win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Uta Arad 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Uta Arad 1-2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Uta Arad 2-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Sep 4, 2023 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Uta Arad 1-4 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uta Arad | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uta Arad sit 15th in Liga I (3 points from 6 matches) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
- The Footlab model makes Uta Arad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
- Where and when is Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe played?
- Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.