Baunatal vs Hummetroth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Baunatal
The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baunatal vs Hummetroth?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Baunatal (1,767) and Hummetroth (1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baunatal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hummetroth have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Baunatal win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hummetroth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hummetroth 0-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Baunatal 4-1 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Hummetroth vs Baunatal on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baunatal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hummetroth | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baunatal sit 16th in Oberliga - Hessen (2 points from 5 matches) and Hummetroth sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Baunatal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baunatal vs Hummetroth?
- The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hummetroth.
- Where and when is Baunatal vs Hummetroth played?
- Baunatal vs Hummetroth is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.