Friedberg vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab AI model makes Friedberg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Friedberg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,824) and Vfb Marburg (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Friedberg vs Vfb Marburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Friedberg
Not enough data to predict the Friedberg lineup.
Vfb Marburg
Not enough data to predict the Vfb Marburg lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Friedberg wins, 1 draw, 0 Vfb Marburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 3-4 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Friedberg 3-1 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 0-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Friedberg 3-3 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Friedberg 6-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Vfb Marburg 0-3 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Friedberg on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 4th in Oberliga - Hessen (21 points from 12 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Friedberg | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 21 |
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
A question about Friedberg vs Vfb Marburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Friedberg the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Friedberg vs Vfb Marburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.