UPDF vs Mbarara City: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bombo Stadium, Bombo
Full time
What was the result of UPDF vs Mbarara City?
UPDF won 3-1 on April 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 32′Emmanuel OchenUPDF
- 36′625568Mbarara City
- 58′Samson KigoziUPDF
- 77′Samson KigoziUPDF
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UPDF have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Mbarara City have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2026 | NEC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | URA(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 UPDF wins, 2 draws, 0 Mbarara City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2025 | Mbarara City 0-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Mbarara City 0-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | UPDF 2-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Mbarara City 0-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2023 | UPDF 1-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| May 8, 2022 | Mbarara City 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
UPDF score 0.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mbarara City score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPDF | 0.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mbarara City | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UPDF sit 9th in Premier League (8 points from 6 matches) and Mbarara City sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about UPDF vs Mbarara City?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy