Match

Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J-League CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaCerezo Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cerezo Osaka wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Urawa (2,057) and Cerezo Osaka (2,054).

31%24%45%
Urawa winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Urawa

3-4-3
  1. 36R. Hidano
  2. 17H. Komori
  3. 10Matheus Sávio
  1. 18K. Hayashi
  2. 88Y. Naganuma
  3. 37H. Ueki
  4. 11Samuel Gustafson
  1. 3Danilo Boza
  2. 15K. Kudo
  3. 2Y. Miyamoto
  1. 1S. Nishikawa

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 19P. Sabbag
  1. 16H. Okuda
  2. 2T. Nakamura
  3. 15Javi Hernández
  4. 36J. Irvine
  5. 41Y. Komi
  6. 77Lucas Fernandes
  1. 97T. Takahashi
  2. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  3. 4R. Inoue
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)2-1J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)1-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)3-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)1-0J1 League
Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kashima(away)1-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-1J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Urawa win, 2 draws, 3 Cerezo Osaka wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 28, 2025Urawa 0-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Mar 28, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-1 UrawaJ1 League
Oct 5, 2024Urawa 0-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Jun 15, 2024Cerezo Osaka 2-1 UrawaJ1 League
Jul 16, 2023Cerezo Osaka 2-0 UrawaJ1 League
Mar 4, 2023Urawa 2-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka on May 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa2.11.458/1512/15
Cerezo Osaka1.51.6410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 1st in J-League Cup (8 points from 6 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 4th (5 points from 6 matches).

2025 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1UrawaGroup B6150548
4Cerezo OsakaGroup E6123285

A question about Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka played?
Urawa vs Cerezo Osaka is played on November 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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