Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats
J-League CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Machida Zelvia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
On Elo ratings, Vissel Kobe has 2,156 points and Machida Zelvia 2,180.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vissel Kobe
4-3-3- 11Y. Muto
- 10Y. Osako
- 29R. Komatsu
- 5Y. Goke
- 25Y. Kuwasaki
- 7Y. Ideguchi
- 41K. Nagato
- 24G. Sakai
- 4T. Yamakawa
- 3Matheus Thuler
- 71S. Gonda
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1- 9Koki Ogawa
- 6H. Mochizuki
- 20T. Nishimura
- 16H. Mae
- 33T. Akimoto
- 7Y. Soma
- 31N. Lavi
- 3G. Shōji
- 2T. Ouwejan
- 24Kim Min-Tae
- 1K. Tani
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 5-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vissel Kobe wins, 2 draws, 2 Machida Zelvia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 3-1 Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Machida Zelvia 2-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia | J1 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Machida Zelvia | 1.6 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia played?
- Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia is played on November 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.