Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,905) and Urawa (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Urawa have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Urawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Urawa 2-1 Kyoto Sanga | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Urawa 2-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Urawa | J1 League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| May 15, 2024 | Urawa 3-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Urawa 0-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Urawa | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsJEF United Chiba
- Nov 21, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Nov 21, 2026Vissel KobevsMito Hollyhock
- Nov 21, 2026KashimavsShimizu S-pulse
- Nov 21, 2026Cerezo OsakavsFC Tokyo
- Nov 21, 2026Gamba OsakavsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 21, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsAvispa Fukuoka
- Nov 21, 2026Machida ZelviavsV-varen Nagasaki