Ursaria vs Navalcarnero: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 17, 2023 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo la Dehesa, Madrid
Full time
What was the result of Ursaria vs Navalcarnero?
Ursaria won 1-0 on December 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 79′Christian DíazUrsaria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ursaria have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Navalcarnero have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | Numancia(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Illescas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Llerenense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Montijo(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Guadalajara(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Unión Adarve(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Mensajero(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ursaria score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ursaria | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy