US Hostert vs UNA Strassen: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Hostert vs UNA Strassen?
UNA Strassen starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,435).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; UNA Strassen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Hostert win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 UNA Strassen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | US Hostert 1-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Aug 31, 2025 | UNA Strassen 4-0 US Hostert | National Division |
| Mar 12, 2025 | US Hostert 1-2 UNA Strassen | Cup |
| Mar 2, 2025 | US Hostert 2-2 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Sep 1, 2024 | UNA Strassen 2-1 US Hostert | National Division |
| Apr 16, 2023 | UNA Strassen 2-0 US Hostert | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Hostert vs UNA Strassen on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Hostert sit 10th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and UNA Strassen sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs UNA Strassen?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for US Hostert.
- Where and when is US Hostert vs UNA Strassen played?
- US Hostert vs UNA Strassen is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026FC Differdange 03vsF91 Dudelange
- Oct 25, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Oct 25, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsAtert Bissen
- Oct 25, 2026Victoria RosportvsRésidence Walferdange
- Oct 25, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsProgres Niederkorn
- Oct 25, 2026WiltzvsUS Rumelange
- Oct 25, 2026Swift HesperangevsAS Jeunesse Esch