Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Achille Hammerel, Luxembourg
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Racing FC Union Luxembourg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Racing FC Union Luxembourg (1,565) and US Mondorf-les-bains (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing FC Union Luxembourg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 5-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Racing FC Union Luxembourg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Mar 16, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3-0 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| May 26, 2024 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 6, 2023 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing FC Union Luxembourg score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing FC Union Luxembourg sit 2nd in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Racing FC Union Luxembourg.
- Where and when is Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Achille Hammerel, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.