Wiltz vs US Rumelange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen
The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for US Rumelange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiltz vs US Rumelange?
Wiltz starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,433 vs 1,305).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; US Rumelange have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wiltz win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 US Rumelange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2016 | Wiltz 0-1 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2015 | US Rumelange 1-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| Mar 8, 2015 | US Rumelange 4-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Aug 22, 2014 | Wiltz 0-1 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Wiltz 4-4 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Aug 18, 2013 | US Rumelange 1-0 Wiltz | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs US Rumelange on Feb 21, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and US Rumelange sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs US Rumelange?
- The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for US Rumelange.
- Where and when is Wiltz vs US Rumelange played?
- Wiltz vs US Rumelange is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026FC Differdange 03vsF91 Dudelange
- Oct 25, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Oct 25, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsAtert Bissen
- Oct 25, 2026Victoria RosportvsRésidence Walferdange
- Oct 25, 2026US HostertvsUNA Strassen
- Oct 25, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsProgres Niederkorn
- Oct 25, 2026Swift HesperangevsAS Jeunesse Esch