US Rumelange vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Rumelange
The Footlab model makes Résidence Walferdange the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for US Rumelange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Rumelange vs Résidence Walferdange?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate US Rumelange (1,306) and Résidence Walferdange (1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Rumelange have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
How many goals should we expect?
US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Rumelange sit 7th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Rumelange vs Résidence Walferdange?
- The Footlab model makes Résidence Walferdange the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for US Rumelange.
- Where and when is US Rumelange vs Résidence Walferdange played?
- US Rumelange vs Résidence Walferdange is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027FC Differdange 03vsVictoria Rosport
- Apr 11, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUNA Strassen
- Apr 11, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsProgres Niederkorn
- Apr 11, 2027US HostertvsAtert Bissen
- Apr 11, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Apr 11, 2027WiltzvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Apr 11, 2027Swift HesperangevsF91 Dudelange