UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Terrain Jos Bloes, Bascharage
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for UN Kaerjeng 97. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Progres Niederkorn?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,439).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UN Kaerjeng 97 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 4-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UN Kaerjeng 97 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 2-2 UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | UN Kaerjeng 97 3-4 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 2-0 UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
| Nov 12, 2023 | UN Kaerjeng 97 2-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Progres Niederkorn 1-0 UN Kaerjeng 97 | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UN Kaerjeng 97 score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN Kaerjeng 97 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UN Kaerjeng 97 sit 11th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for UN Kaerjeng 97.
- Where and when is UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Progres Niederkorn is played on April 11, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain Jos Bloes, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027FC Differdange 03vsVictoria Rosport
- Apr 11, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUNA Strassen
- Apr 11, 2027US RumelangevsRésidence Walferdange
- Apr 11, 2027US HostertvsAtert Bissen
- Apr 11, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Apr 11, 2027WiltzvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Apr 11, 2027Swift HesperangevsF91 Dudelange