USD Palmese vs Nocerina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, Palma Campania
The Footlab AI model makes USD Palmese the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Nocerina. The most likely score is 1-1. If USD Palmese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USD Palmese vs Nocerina?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate USD Palmese (1,686) and Nocerina (1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USD Palmese vs Nocerina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USD Palmese
Not enough data to predict the USD Palmese lineup.
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Palmese have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Nocerina have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 USD Palmese wins, 0 draws, 4 Nocerina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nocerina 3-0 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Nocerina 1-2 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 5, 2025 | USD Palmese 0-1 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone G |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Nocerina 3-2 USD Palmese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Nocerina 3-1 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 17, 2024 | USD Palmese 3-2 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Nocerina vs USD Palmese on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USD Palmese score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nocerina score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Palmese | 1.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Nocerina | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USD Palmese sit 10th in Serie D - Girone H (10 points from 8 matches) and Nocerina sit 8th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | USD Palmese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
A question about USD Palmese vs Nocerina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USD Palmese vs Nocerina?
- The Footlab AI model makes USD Palmese the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Nocerina.
- Where and when is USD Palmese vs Nocerina played?
- USD Palmese vs Nocerina is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Di Palma Campania, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.