USM Alger vs ASO Chlef: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 70%, against 22% for a draw and 8% for ASO Chlef. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Alger vs ASO Chlef?
USM Alger starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USM Alger
4-3-3- 24M. Bouderbala
- 29D. Kamagate
- 15M. Ramdaoui
- 11G. Likonza
- 6Z. Draoui
- 10D. Bensaadallah
- 12H. Loucif
- 28A. Abada
- 5I. Azzi
- 20R. Mahrouz
- 1O. Benbot
ASO Chlef
4-3-3- 2A. Benchouya
- 22Edward Ledlum
- 7Z. Motrani
- 15C. Bekkouche
- 12I. Moussa
- 6M. Belaribi
- 20B. Brahimi
- 26A. Debbari
- 13Said Lamrani
- 3O. Benattia
- 30Chamseddine Rahmani
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Alger have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; ASO Chlef have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | JS Saoura(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | JS El Biar(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JS Kabylie(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MC Oran(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CS Constantine(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 USM Alger wins, 1 draw, 2 ASO Chlef wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | ASO Chlef 2-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | USM Alger 1-0 ASO Chlef | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | USM Alger 1-2 ASO Chlef | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | ASO Chlef 0-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2024 | USM Alger 2-1 ASO Chlef | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ASO Chlef 0-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ASO Chlef vs USM Alger on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; ASO Chlef score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| ASO Chlef | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Alger sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and ASO Chlef sit 14th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USM Alger | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | ASO Chlef | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
A question about USM Alger vs ASO Chlef?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Alger vs ASO Chlef?
- The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 70%, against 22% for a draw and 8% for ASO Chlef.
- Where and when is USM Alger vs ASO Chlef played?
- USM Alger vs ASO Chlef is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.