USM Alger vs MC Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for MC Alger. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Alger vs MC Alger?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate USM Alger (1,901) and MC Alger (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USM Alger vs MC Alger
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USM Alger
4-3-3- 24M. Bouderbala
- 29D. Kamagate
- 15M. Ramdaoui
- 11G. Likonza
- 6Z. Draoui
- 9F. Boulaya
- 12H. Loucif
- 28A. Abada
- 5I. Azzi
- 20R. Mahrouz
- 30O. Benbot
MC Alger
4-3-3- 8Z. Ferhat
- 22Siriman Konate
- 18M. Bangoura
- 28O. Benhaoua
- 17C. Boukholda
- 21M. Abdelkader
- 5A. Abdellaoui
- 20R. Halaïmia
- 19A. Ghezala
- 6M. Benkhemassa
- 1A. Ramdane
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Alger have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; MC Alger have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | JS Saoura(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | JS El Biar(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Enugu Rangers(away) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | ASO Chlef(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Témouchent(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MB Rouisset(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NIGELEC(home) | 5-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 USM Alger wins, 1 draw, 5 MC Alger wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Super Cup |
| Aug 31, 2025 | USM Alger 0-0 MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 23, 2025 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | USM Alger 0-3 MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2024 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; MC Alger score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| MC Alger | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Alger sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and MC Alger sit 5th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USM Alger | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | MC Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
A question about USM Alger vs MC Alger?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Alger vs MC Alger?
- The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for MC Alger.
- Where and when is USM Alger vs MC Alger played?
- USM Alger vs MC Alger is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.