Match

USM Oujda vs Riadi Salmi: prediction and stats

Botola 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda, Oujda

USM OujdaRiadi Salmi

The Footlab AI model makes USM Oujda the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Riadi Salmi. The most likely score is 1-1. If USM Oujda wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win USM Oujda vs Riadi Salmi?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate USM Oujda (1,641) and Riadi Salmi (1,645).

49%28%23%
USM Oujda winDrawRiadi Salmi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for USM Oujda vs Riadi Salmi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

USM Oujda

Not enough data to predict the USM Oujda lineup.

Riadi Salmi

4-1-4-1
  1. 34K. El Keraa
  1. 26A. Sellak
  2. 8A. Hmaidou
  3. 90A. Cherrad
  4. 77Y. Sakhi
  5. 9S. Icharane
  1. 4M. Khallati
  2. 13M. Ouhrou
  3. 97A. Lakhlifi
  4. 15Jad Assouab
  1. 16M. Bellarabi

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:45 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Oujda have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Riadi Salmi have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

USM Oujda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Wydad Fès(away)1-4Botola 2
Oct 10, 2026Olympique Safi(home)1-1Botola 2
Oct 4, 2026Chabab Mohammédia(away)1-0Botola 2
Sep 27, 2026Mouloudia Oujda(home)2-1Botola 2
Jun 27, 2026Chabab Atl. Khenifra(home)1-1Botola 2
Riadi Salmi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Olympique Dcheïra(home)1-4Botola 2
Oct 11, 2026Yacoub El Mansour(away)0-1Botola 2
Oct 4, 2026El Massira(home)0-0Botola 2
Sep 27, 2026Chabab Ben Guerir(away)0-2Botola 2
Jun 27, 2026KAC Kenitra(away)2-1Botola 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 USM Oujda win, 0 draws, 1 Riadi Salmi win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Riadi Salmi 2-0 USM OujdaBotola 2
Jan 31, 2026USM Oujda 3-2 Riadi SalmiBotola 2

Last archived meeting: Riadi Salmi vs USM Oujda on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

USM Oujda score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Riadi Salmi score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
USM Oujda0.91.157/154/15
Riadi Salmi0.91.638/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

USM Oujda sit 6th in Botola 2 (7 points from 4 matches) and Riadi Salmi sit 16th (1 point from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6USM Oujda4211567
16Riadi Salmi4013171

A question about USM Oujda vs Riadi Salmi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for USM Oujda vs Riadi Salmi?
The Footlab AI model makes USM Oujda the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Riadi Salmi.
Where and when is USM Oujda vs Riadi Salmi played?
USM Oujda vs Riadi Salmi is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda, in the Botola 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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