Ústí nad Labem II vs Sokol Hostouň: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sokol Hostouň the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Ústí nad Labem II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Labem II vs Sokol Hostouň?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Ústí nad Labem II (1,579) and Sokol Hostouň (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Labem II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sokol Hostouň have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chomutov(away) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sokol Brozany(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tempo Praha(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrov(home) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Slavoj Vyšehrad(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Labem II score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sokol Hostouň score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Labem II | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Sokol Hostouň | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ústí nad Labem II sit 15th in 4. liga - Divizie B (1 points from 3 matches) and Sokol Hostouň sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sokol Hostouň | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 | Ústí nad Labem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Labem II vs Sokol Hostouň?
- The Footlab model makes Sokol Hostouň the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Ústí nad Labem II.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Labem II vs Sokol Hostouň played?
- Ústí nad Labem II vs Sokol Hostouň is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.