Slovan Velvary vs Karlovy Vary: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Slovan Velvary, Velvary
The Footlab model makes Slovan Velvary the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Karlovy Vary. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Velvary vs Karlovy Vary?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Slovan Velvary (1,638) and Karlovy Vary (1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Velvary have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Karlovy Vary have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hvězda Cheb(away) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slaný(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Souš(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Velvary score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karlovy Vary score 2.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Velvary | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Karlovy Vary | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Velvary sit 2nd in 4. liga - Divizie B (7 points from 3 matches) and Karlovy Vary sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Velvary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Karlovy Vary | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Velvary vs Karlovy Vary?
- The Footlab model makes Slovan Velvary the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Karlovy Vary.
- Where and when is Slovan Velvary vs Karlovy Vary played?
- Slovan Velvary vs Karlovy Vary is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Slovan Velvary, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.