Újezd Praha 4 vs Ostrov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC)Újezd Praha 4 UMT, Praha-Újezd
The Footlab model makes Újezd Praha 4 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Ostrov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Újezd Praha 4 vs Ostrov?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Újezd Praha 4 (1,733) and Ostrov (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Újezd Praha 4 have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ostrov have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 1-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hvězda Cheb(home) | 4-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slaný(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ostrov(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Louny(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Újezd Praha 4 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ostrov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ostrov 1-0 Újezd Praha 4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Újezd Praha 4 3-1 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Újezd Praha 4 2-1 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Ostrov 1-0 Újezd Praha 4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Ostrov 2-2 Újezd Praha 4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Újezd Praha 4 2-1 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
Last archived meeting: Ostrov vs Újezd Praha 4 on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Újezd Praha 4 score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Újezd Praha 4 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Újezd Praha 4 sit 6th in 4. liga - Divizie B (4 points from 3 matches) and Ostrov sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Újezd Praha 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Újezd Praha 4 vs Ostrov?
- The Footlab model makes Újezd Praha 4 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Ostrov.
- Where and when is Újezd Praha 4 vs Ostrov played?
- Újezd Praha 4 vs Ostrov is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC) at Újezd Praha 4 UMT, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.