Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernomorets Balchik: result 1-4 and analysis
Third League - NortheastNorth-East - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2020 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Donchevo, Donchevo
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What was the result of Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Chernomorets Balchik won 1-4 on October 11, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ustrem Donchevo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Chernomorets Balchik have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2020 | Kubrat(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Ludogorets III(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Topoli(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Dorostol(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Kubrat(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Ustrem Donchevo score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets Balchik score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ustrem Donchevo | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Chernomorets Balchik | 1.4 | 0.9 | 10 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ustrem Donchevo sit 15th in Third League - Northeast (7 points from 10 matches) and Chernomorets Balchik sit 5th (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 7 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy