Ustrem Donchevo vs Olympic Varna: result 4-1 and analysis
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Donchevo, Donchevo
Full time
What was the result of Ustrem Donchevo vs Olympic Varna?
Ustrem Donchevo won 4-1 on November 8, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ustrem Donchevo have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Olympic Varna have 3, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Dorostol(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ludogorets III(away) | 0-8 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Volov Shumen(away) | 3-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Aksakovo(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Volov Shumen(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Aksakovo(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Ustrem Donchevo score 1.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic Varna score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ustrem Donchevo | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Olympic Varna | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/12 | 8/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ustrem Donchevo sit 11th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Olympic Varna sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olympic Varna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Ustrem Donchevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy