Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Puchades (Ciudad Deportiva Valencia), Paterna
The Footlab model makes Valencia II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Peña Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Valencia II (1,911) and Peña Deportiva (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valencia II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Peña Deportiva have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Valencia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Peña Deportiva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Valencia II 2-0 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Peña Deportiva 3-0 Valencia II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Valencia II 1-0 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Peña Deportiva 2-1 Valencia II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 7, 2023 | Peña Deportiva 1-0 Valencia II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Valencia II 0-0 Peña Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Valencia II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Deportiva score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Peña Deportiva | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valencia II sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (53 points from 34 matches) and Peña Deportiva sit 15th (35 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Valencia II | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 53 |
| 15 | Peña Deportiva | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva?
- The Footlab model makes Valencia II the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Peña Deportiva.
- Where and when is Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva played?
- Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Puchades (Ciudad Deportiva Valencia), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.