Valenciennes vs Rouen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
The Footlab AI model makes Rouen the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Valenciennes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rouen wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Rouen?
Rouen starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valenciennes vs Rouen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valenciennes
4-2-3-1- 11R. Ekra
- 8M. Rouai
- 19T. Marechal
- 10D. Diomande
- 21V. Marcel
- 27Z. Amir
- 6M. Zogba
- 22D. Goprou
- 2Derrick Abu
- 13C. Rocchia
- 1J. Louchet
Rouen
4-1-4-1- 9M. Tchokounté
- 13B. Camara
- 11N. Sommer
- 10I. Karamoko
- 12A. Touré
- 8G. Egny
- 5J. Gaspar
- 18C. Bassin
- 22Formose Mendy
- 15Z. Lamgahez
- 1A. Maraval
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenciennes have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Rouen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fleury 91(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Caen(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valenciennes win, 4 draws, 1 Rouen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Rouen 1-2 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Valenciennes 2-3 Rouen | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Valenciennes 0-0 Rouen | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Valenciennes score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rouen score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rouen | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenciennes sit 15th in Ligue 3 (8 points from 9 matches) and Rouen sit 2nd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Valenciennes vs Rouen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenciennes vs Rouen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rouen the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Valenciennes.
- Where and when is Valenciennes vs Rouen played?
- Valenciennes vs Rouen is played on February 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du Hainaut, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.