Amiens vs Bastia: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne, Amiens
The Footlab AI model makes Amiens the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Bastia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amiens wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amiens vs Bastia?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Amiens (1,797) and Bastia (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amiens vs Bastia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amiens
3-4-3- 32L. Diakite
- 26C. Mbondi
- 15M. Colin
- 22R. Boissier
- 19A. Nuss
- 17A. Giacomini
- 10Z. Sopromadze
- 25E. Genton
- 4K. Mbala
- 20L. Llort
- 1V. Delins
Bastia
4-2-3-1- 12L. Belal
- 17J. Eickmayer
- 4A. Roncaglia
- 22I. Monnier
- 3H. Makalou
- 9F. Tomi
- 35N. Douce
- 2N. Zilliox
- 20G. Akueson
- 34D. Djedje
- 1T. De Percin
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amiens have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bastia have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amiens wins, 2 draws, 1 Bastia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bastia 0-3 Amiens | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bastia 1-1 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Amiens 0-0 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Amiens 1-0 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Bastia 1-0 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| May 3, 2024 | Bastia 1-2 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Amiens score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 1.4 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bastia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amiens sit 5th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 9 matches) and Bastia sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Amiens vs Bastia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amiens vs Bastia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amiens the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Bastia.
- Where and when is Amiens vs Bastia played?
- Amiens vs Bastia is played on February 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.