Caen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Bourg-en-bresse 01. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,135 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Caen starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 10I. Botella
- 11A. Gnanduillet
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 24Léo Milliner
- 6J. Kimboma
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 4S. Mbaka
- 16Y. Clémentia
Bourg-en-bresse 01
4-2-3-1- 9I. Mendes
- 8T. Frayssinous
- 22T. Gomes
- 28A. Gharbi
- 14A. Krizoua
- 6R. Souici
- 29Noah Dede-Lhomme
- 5Q. Lacour
- 18Y. Kanoute
- 4A. Dihad
- 1L. Montfort
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Bourg-en-bresse 01 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleury 91(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Caen wins, 0 draws, 0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-2 Caen | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-2 Caen | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Caen 1-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bourg-en-bresse 01 score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caen sit 4th in Ligue 3 (18 points from 10 matches) and Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 18th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 18 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 5 |
A question about Caen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
- Where and when is Caen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 played?
- Caen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 is played on February 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.