Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Vălenii de Munte
The Footlab AI model makes Valenii de Munte the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Carpati Covasna. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,052 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna?
On Elo ratings, Valenii de Munte has 1,459 points and Carpati Covasna 1,412.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valenii de Munte
Not enough data to predict the Valenii de Munte lineup.
Carpati Covasna
Not enough data to predict the Carpati Covasna lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenii de Munte have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Carpati Covasna have 0, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sepsi II(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(home) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Valenii de Munte win, 0 draws, 0 Carpati Covasna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carpati Covasna 1-3 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 2 |
Last archived meeting: Carpati Covasna vs Valenii de Munte on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valenii de Munte score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carpati Covasna score 0.6 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenii de Munte | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Carpati Covasna | 0.6 | 3.6 | 0 | 4/9 | 7/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenii de Munte sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 2 (13 points from 7 matches) and Carpati Covasna sit 11th (1 point from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Valenii de Munte | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | Carpati Covasna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 1 |
A question about Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valenii de Munte the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Carpati Covasna.
- Where and when is Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna played?
- Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.