Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Vălenii de Munte
The Footlab model makes Carpati Covasna the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Valenii de Munte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenii de Munte have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Carpati Covasna have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Berca(away) | 2-5 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-7 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna?
- The Footlab model makes Carpati Covasna the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Valenii de Munte.
- Where and when is Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna played?
- Valenii de Munte vs Carpati Covasna is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.