Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Påskbergsvallen, Varberg
The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Varbergs BoIS FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping?
IFK Norrkoping starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varbergs BoIS FC have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; IFK Norrkoping have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 5-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 4-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Varbergs BoIS FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 IFK Norrkoping win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping 2-0 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Nov 6, 2023 | IFK Norrkoping 4-3 Varbergs BoIS FC | Allsvenskan |
| May 13, 2023 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-3 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-1 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 3, 2022 | IFK Norrkoping 0-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 5, 2022 | IFK Norrkoping 2-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC on Jun 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varbergs BoIS FC score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Norrkoping score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| IFK Norrkoping | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd in Superettan (34 points from 20 matches) and IFK Norrkoping sit 1st (44 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Varbergs BoIS FC.
- Where and when is Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping played?
- Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping is played on September 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Påskbergsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.