United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Södertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
The Footlab model makes United Nordic the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo?
United Nordic starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United Nordic have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; IFK Varnamo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IK brage(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 United Nordic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 IFK Varnamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | IFK Varnamo 0-2 United Nordic | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: IFK Varnamo vs United Nordic on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
United Nordic score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Varnamo score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Nordic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| IFK Varnamo | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
United Nordic sit 5th in Superettan (32 points from 20 matches) and IFK Varnamo sit 15th (19 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | United Nordic | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 32 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo?
- The Footlab model makes United Nordic the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo played?
- United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo is played on September 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Södertälje Fotbollsarena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.