Vardar Negotino vs FK Rabotnicki: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cvaj Arena, Negotino
The Footlab model makes FK Rabotnicki the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Vardar Negotino. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vardar Negotino vs FK Rabotnicki?
FK Rabotnicki is a heavy favourite: 1,534 Elo points against 1,118, a 416-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vardar Negotino have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; FK Rabotnicki have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(home) | 0-5 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 5-3 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 0-4 | Second League |
| May 2, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 2-8 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 1-4 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Belasica(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(away) | 7-0 | First League |
| May 10, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(away) | 2-2 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vardar Negotino score 1.1 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; FK Rabotnicki score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vardar Negotino | 1.1 | 3.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| FK Rabotnicki | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vardar Negotino vs FK Rabotnicki?
- The Footlab model makes FK Rabotnicki the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 3% for Vardar Negotino.
- Where and when is Vardar Negotino vs FK Rabotnicki played?
- Vardar Negotino vs FK Rabotnicki is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cvaj Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.