Varea vs Berceo: result 1-0 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 19Kick-off on January 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Varea, Varea
Full time
What was the result of Varea vs Berceo?
Varea won 1-0 on January 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 68′628260Varea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varea have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Berceo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Pradejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Anguiano(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Haro Deportivo(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Peña Balsamaiso(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Autol(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UD Logroñés II(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Oyonesa(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Varea wins, 2 draws, 0 Berceo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Berceo 0-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Varea 2-2 Berceo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Berceo 0-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Varea 3-2 Berceo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Berceo 1-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Berceo 4-5 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Varea score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Berceo score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varea | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Berceo | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varea sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (10 points from 6 matches) and Berceo sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berceo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Varea | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
A question about Varea vs Berceo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy