Varzim vs Arouca: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 6, 2019 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Varzim Sport Club, Póvoa de Varzim
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What was the result of Varzim vs Arouca?
Varzim won 1-0 on April 6, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 90′Ricardo BarrosVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varzim have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Arouca have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Farense(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Estoril(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | Academica(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Leixoes(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Mafra(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 24, 2019 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Varzim win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | Arouca 0-1 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 25, 2018 | Arouca 1-2 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Varzim 0-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Varzim score 0.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varzim | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Arouca | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy