Vasas II vs Csepel: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Vasas II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Csepel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasas II vs Csepel?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Vasas II (1,527) and Csepel (1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasas II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Csepel have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Újpest II(home) | 3-5 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Csepel UFC(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vasas II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Csepel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Csepel 0-4 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Vasas II 1-0 Csepel | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Vasas II score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Csepel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Csepel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasas II sit 8th in NB III - Southeast (5 points from 4 matches) and Csepel sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vasas II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 9 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasas II vs Csepel?
- The Footlab model makes Vasas II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Csepel.
- Where and when is Vasas II vs Csepel played?
- Vasas II vs Csepel is played on September 20, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.