Dabas vs III. Kerületi TUE: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)FC Dabas Sporttelep, Dabas
The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Dabas. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dabas vs III. Kerületi TUE?
III. Kerületi TUE starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,620 vs 1,413).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dabas have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; III. Kerületi TUE have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Felsőpakony(away) | 3-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(home) | 1-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-7 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Csepel(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dabas win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 III. Kerületi TUE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dabas 2-3 III. Kerületi TUE | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 27, 2025 | III. Kerületi TUE 3-1 Dabas | NB III - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Dabas vs III. Kerületi TUE on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dabas score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; III. Kerületi TUE score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabas | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| III. Kerületi TUE | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dabas sit 4th in NB III - Southeast (9 points from 4 matches) and III. Kerületi TUE sit 3rd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Dabas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dabas vs III. Kerületi TUE?
- The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Dabas.
- Where and when is Dabas vs III. Kerületi TUE played?
- Dabas vs III. Kerületi TUE is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at FC Dabas Sporttelep, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.