Where and when is Veles vs FC Sochi played?

Veles vs FC Sochi is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avangard, in the First League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Veles vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats

First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avangard, Domodedovo

Veles

FC Sochi

The Footlab model makes Veles the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Veles vs FC Sochi?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Veles (1,844) and FC Sochi (1,831).

Veles win46 %

Draw28 %

FC Sochi win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veles have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; FC Sochi have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Veles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Arsenal Tula(home)	2-0	First League
Aug 19, 2026	Nizhny Novgorod(home)	3-2	First League
Aug 15, 2026	Ska-khabarovsk(away)	0-2	First League
Aug 9, 2026	Leningradets(home)	2-1	First League
Aug 3, 2026	Rotor Volgograd(home)	2-1	First League

FC Sochi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	KAMAZ(away)	3-2	First League
Aug 20, 2026	FK Neftekhimik(away)	2-1	First League
Aug 16, 2026	Volga Ulyanovsk(home)	1-0	First League
Aug 8, 2026	Torpedo Moskva(away)	2-1	First League
Aug 1, 2026	Leningradets(away)	1-2	First League

How many goals should we expect?

Veles score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Veles	1.5	1.3	3	9/15	8/15
FC Sochi	1.7	1.1	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Veles sit 2nd in First League (18 points from 8 matches) and FC Sochi sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Veles	8	6	0	2	12	10	18
3	FC Sochi	8	5	1	2	16	10	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Veles vs FC Sochi?: The Footlab model makes Veles the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for FC Sochi.
Where and when is Veles vs FC Sochi played?: Veles vs FC Sochi is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avangard, in the First League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.