KAMAZ vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion KAMAZ, Naberezhnye Chelny
The Footlab model makes KAMAZ the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate KAMAZ (1,771) and Chelyabinsk (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KAMAZ have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KAMAZ win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Chelyabinsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 2-7 KAMAZ | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 3-3 KAMAZ | First League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 0-0 KAMAZ | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | KAMAZ 2-1 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| Jul 3, 2021 | KAMAZ 1-1 Chelyabinsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 4, 2021 | KAMAZ 3-1 Chelyabinsk | Second League - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
KAMAZ score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAMAZ | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KAMAZ sit 18th in First League (2 points from 7 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 12th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | KAMAZ | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KAMAZ vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab model makes KAMAZ the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is KAMAZ vs Chelyabinsk played?
- KAMAZ vs Chelyabinsk is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion KAMAZ, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.