Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Urozhaj, Karavaevo
The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for FK Neftekhimik. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Spartak Kostroma (1,842) and FK Neftekhimik (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Kostroma have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; FK Neftekhimik have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Spartak Kostroma win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FK Neftekhimik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik 3-1 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 1-1 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Feb 15, 2023 | FK Neftekhimik 4-0 Spartak Kostroma | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FK Neftekhimik vs Spartak Kostroma on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Kostroma score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Neftekhimik score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Kostroma sit 8th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and FK Neftekhimik sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | FK Neftekhimik | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for FK Neftekhimik.
- Where and when is Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik played?
- Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Urozhaj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.