Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petrovskiy, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Leningradets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Leningradets (1,761) and Tekstilshchik (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leningradets have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tekstilshchik have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leningradets win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tekstilshchik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Tekstilshchik 0-2 Leningradets | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Leningradets 3-2 Tekstilshchik | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Leningradets 3-1 Tekstilshchik | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Tekstilshchik 1-0 Leningradets | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Leningradets 0-0 Tekstilshchik | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tekstilshchik 0-2 Leningradets | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Tekstilshchik vs Leningradets on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leningradets score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tekstilshchik score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tekstilshchik | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leningradets sit 15th in First League (6 points from 7 matches) and Tekstilshchik sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tekstilshchik | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Leningradets | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik?
- The Footlab model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Leningradets.
- Where and when is Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik played?
- Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Petrovskiy, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.