Veles vs Spartak Kostroma: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avangard, Domodedovo
The Footlab model makes Veles the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Kostroma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Veles (1,833) and Spartak Kostroma (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veles have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Spartak Kostroma have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Veles win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Spartak Kostroma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 1-2 Veles | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Veles 0-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Veles 0-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Veles | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Veles 2-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Spartak Kostroma 0-0 Veles | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Kostroma vs Veles on Jun 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Veles score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Kostroma score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veles | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Veles sit 2nd in First League (18 points from 8 matches) and Spartak Kostroma sit 8th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Veles | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
- The Footlab model makes Veles the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Kostroma.
- Where and when is Veles vs Spartak Kostroma played?
- Veles vs Spartak Kostroma is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avangard, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.