Veles vs Spartak Kostroma: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avangard, Domodedovo
The Footlab AI model makes Veles the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Spartak Kostroma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Veles wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Veles (1,791) and Spartak Kostroma (1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Veles
4-2-3-1- 9K. Giraev
- 22Y. Zavezen
- 97A. Shubin
- 77O. Smirnov
- 90V. Galkin
- 11K. Korolkov
- 23K. Skvortsov
- 5A. Koloskov
- 15K. Pliev
- 80M. Rybalko
- 41S. Samok
Spartak Kostroma
4-2-3-1- 90A. Kalmykov
- 17D. Kaptilovich
- 87Armin Spahic
- 18V. Kamilov
- 10D. Karaev
- 73D. Kirakosyan
- 21M. Bugarin
- 5D. Zhilmostnykh
- 7K. Malyarov
- 2N. Tarasov
- 50E. Shamov
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veles have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Spartak Kostroma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ural(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Veles wins, 2 draws, 2 Spartak Kostroma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | Spartak Kostroma 1-2 Veles | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Veles 0-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Veles 0-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Veles | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Veles 2-1 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Spartak Kostroma 0-0 Veles | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Kostroma vs Veles on Jun 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Veles score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Kostroma score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veles | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Veles sit 6th in First League (27 points from 16 matches) and Spartak Kostroma sit 5th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spartak Kostroma | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 27 |
| 6 | Veles | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 27 |
A question about Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Veles the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Spartak Kostroma.
- Where and when is Veles vs Spartak Kostroma played?
- Veles vs Spartak Kostroma is played on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avangard, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.