FC Sochi vs Ural: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ural wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Ural?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,829) and Ural (1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Sochi vs Ural
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1- 9Z. Fedorov
- 8M. Ignatov
- 6M. Kuzmin
- 66A. Metsiev
- 5A. Osipov
- 97R. Pasevich
- 29R. Ezhov
- 28R. Magal
- 44N. Stojić
- 4V. Litvinov
- 51T. Mitrov
Ural
4-4-2- 97I. Ishkov
- 10M. Sekulić
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 99B. Fourrier
- 13M. Kaynov
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 2S. Begić
- 24A. Korotkov
- 16Ítalo
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 57A. Selikhov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ural have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Sochi wins, 2 draws, 2 Ural wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Sochi 1-0 Ural | First League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Ural 2-0 FC Sochi | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | FC Sochi 2-2 Ural | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ural 1-4 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Ural 1-0 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2022 | FC Sochi 2-2 Ural | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 2nd in First League (26 points from 13 matches) and Ural sit 4th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 25 |
A question about FC Sochi vs Ural?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs Ural?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for FC Sochi.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs Ural played?
- FC Sochi vs Ural is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.