Velez Sarsfield vs Penarol: result 2-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on April 2, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Amalfitani, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Velez Sarsfield vs Penarol?
Velez Sarsfield won 2-1 on April 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 48′L. FernándezPenarol
- 80′M. CarrizoVelez Sarsfield
- 90′Álvaro MontoroVelez Sarsfield
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velez Sarsfield have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Penarol have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 18, 2025 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 7, 2025 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Huracan(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Midland(home) | 1-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Velez Sarsfield win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2020 | Penarol 1-1 Velez Sarsfield | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 29, 2020 | Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Penarol | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield on Nov 5, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Velez Sarsfield score 0.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | 0.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 1/15 | 4/15 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Apr 1, 2025Cerro Porteno4-2Bolívar
- Apr 2, 2025Bucaramanga3-3Colo Colo
- Apr 2, 2025Fortaleza EC0-3Racing Club
- Apr 2, 2025Barcelona SC1-0Independiente del Valle
- Apr 2, 2025Alianza Lima0-1Libertad Asuncion
- Apr 2, 2025San Antonio Bulo Bulo3-2Olimpia
- Apr 3, 2025Universidad de Chile1-0Botafogo