Venezuela U17 vs Mexico W U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristóbal
The Footlab model makes Mexico W U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Venezuela U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezuela U17 vs Mexico W U17?
Mexico W U17 starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venezuela U17 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mexico W U17 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brazil U17(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brazil U17(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bolivia U17(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Uruguay U17(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Brazil U17(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Portugal U17(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Argentina U17(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Switzerland U17(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Côte d'Ivoire U17(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Korea Republic U17(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - U17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Venezuela U17 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mexico W U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2023 | Mexico W U17 2-2 Venezuela U17 | World Cup - U17 |
Last archived meeting: Mexico W U17 vs Venezuela U17 on Nov 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Venezuela U17 score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico W U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela U17 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Mexico W U17 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezuela U17 vs Mexico W U17?
- The Footlab model makes Mexico W U17 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Venezuela U17.
- Where and when is Venezuela U17 vs Mexico W U17 played?
- Venezuela U17 vs Mexico W U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 25, 2026Ecuador U17vsKorea Republic U17
- Nov 25, 2026Haiti U17vsSaudi Arabia U17
- Nov 25, 2026New Zealand U17vsBelgium U17
- Nov 25, 2026Tajikistan U17vsSenegal U17
- Nov 25, 2026Croatia U17vsCuba U17
- Nov 25, 2026Denmark U17vsArgentina U17
- Nov 25, 2026Greece U17vsQatar U17
- Nov 25, 2026Australia U17vsUganda U17