Where and when is Verl vs Hamburger SV played?

Verl vs Hamburger SV is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the DFB Pokal.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Verl vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 64Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

Verl

Hamburger SV

The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Verl (1,963) and Hamburger SV (2,049).

Verl win15 %

Draw19 %

Hamburger SV win66 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Hamburger SV have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	2-4	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-4	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	6-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	1-1	Bundesliga

How many goals should we expect?

Verl score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Verl	1.7	1.5	5	6/15	10/15
Hamburger SV	1.4	1.9	0	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl vs Hamburger SV?: The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Verl.
Where and when is Verl vs Hamburger SV played?: Verl vs Hamburger SV is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.