Versailles vs Concarneau: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Versailles the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Concarneau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Versailles wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Versailles vs Concarneau?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Versailles (1,859) and Concarneau (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Versailles vs Concarneau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Versailles
3-4-1-2- 7S. Guillaume
- 27A. Etien
- 14R. Basque
- 12M. Fischer
- 18J. Leborgne
- 2J. Santini
- 21S. Cara
- 15A. Barry
- 5R. Calvet
- 19B. Cissé
- 30N. Yavorsky
Concarneau
4-2-3-1- 9S. Janno
- 8M. Picouleau
- 24C. Divialle Corbière
- 23L. Goujon
- 18F. Da Silva
- 22B. Macon
- 27J. Halby-Touré
- 5B. Etcheverria
- 6D. Seba
- 15Demba Yatera
- 1V. Viot
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Versailles have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Concarneau have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Villefranche(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Orleans(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Caen(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Versailles wins, 0 draws, 4 Concarneau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Concarneau 0-2 Versailles | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Versailles 4-0 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Concarneau 4-2 Versailles | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Versailles 1-2 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Versailles 0-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2022 | Concarneau 4-1 Versailles | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Concarneau vs Versailles on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Versailles score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Concarneau score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versailles | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Concarneau | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Versailles sit 4th in Ligue 3 (16 points from 9 matches) and Concarneau sit 3rd (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Versailles vs Concarneau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Versailles vs Concarneau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Versailles the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Concarneau.
- Where and when is Versailles vs Concarneau played?
- Versailles vs Concarneau is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.