VfB Lübeck vs VfR Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for VfR Neumünster. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs VfR Neumünster?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,902) and VfR Neumünster (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; VfR Neumünster have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs VfR Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for VfR Neumünster.
- Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs VfR Neumünster played?
- VfB Lübeck vs VfR Neumünster is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.