Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg?
VfB Oldenburg starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,018 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; VfB Oldenburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hamburger SV II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 VfB Oldenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 0-4 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 22, 2025 | VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 5-0 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 0-2 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 1, 2023 | VfB Oldenburg 0-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburger SV II on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamburger SV II sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nord (1 points from 4 matches) and VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Hamburger SV II.
- Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg played?
- Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026VfB LübeckvsSt. Pauli II
- Oct 17, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsEimsbütteler TV
- Oct 17, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Oct 17, 2026SSV JeddelohvsWerder Bremen II
- Oct 17, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsBremer SV
- Oct 17, 2026HSC HannovervsTodesfelde
- Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsSchöningen
- Oct 17, 2026Kickers EmdenvsPhönix Lübeck