VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Marschwegstadion, Oldenburg
The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Phönix Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate VfB Oldenburg (2,015) and Phönix Lübeck (1,954).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Oldenburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfB Oldenburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg 3-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 1-2 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 23, 2024 | VfB Oldenburg 2-2 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 3-1 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 26, 2023 | VfB Oldenburg 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Phönix Lübeck 5-1 VfB Oldenburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Oldenburg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Nord (10 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Phönix Lübeck.
- Where and when is VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck played?
- VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Marschwegstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsTodesfelde
- Mar 6, 2027SV Drochtersen/AsselvsBremer SV
- Mar 6, 2027VfB LübeckvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Mar 6, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsHamburger SV II
- Mar 6, 2027HSC HannovervsHannover 96 II
- Mar 6, 2027Kickers EmdenvsSt. Pauli II
- Mar 6, 2027Eimsbütteler TVvsWeiche Flensburg
- Mar 6, 2027SchöningenvsSSV Jeddeloh